While it is disturbing to see support for Democrats declining in many new polls, it should not be surprising at all.
The Obama Administration is not afraid of controversy, and has been confronted with a multitude of problems and challenges unmatched since the Great Depression and FDR.
Therefore, it was predictable that the so called “honeymoon” would end, but I think it is not something to worry about.
A lot of the loss is among independents, but it is due to a multitude of propaganda attacks by opponents, and disillusionment brought about by the fact that we are dealing with such complex issues that we could not expect anything else to be occurring.
I would argue that it is likely in any case that the Democrats will lose some seats in the US House in 2010, something that is historically a reality in midterm elections. But it is also likely that the Democrats will gain a couple of seats in the Senate, based on the circumstances that now exist with the GOP losing a number of veteran senators who have decided to retire.
Signs are emerging that many town hall meetings are now becoming civil, including in Florida, and the President and his supporters are on a “full court press” in reaction to the corporate and conservative and talk radio vitriol, and I would not be willing to bet against success with some compromise when Congress comes back in mid September.
Remember that Barack Obama was underestimated in the 2008 campaign, and realize that to underestimate him in the battle for health care reform would be unwise!