One Month To Election Day: Are Polls To Be Believed?

With one month until Election Day, polls indicate Democratic Presidential nominee Kamala Harris has a slight edge over Donald Trump, but all the seven “Battleground” or “Swing” states are within the margin of error, so anything can happen in the next month to tip the result.

Allan Lichtman of American University has predicted Harris will defeat Trump, but no one can consider any prediction to be certain. Lichtman says the concept of an “October Surprise” is overrated as a factor, but certainly one cannot predict events that could sway voters who have not yet made up their minds.

So Harris is gaining the campaigning support of Barack Obama in particular, but also a host of other public celebrities, plus the support of hundreds of Republicans who worked under Ronald Reagan, George H. W. Bush, George W. Bush, and even in the Donald Trump Presidency, along with those who worked for John McCain and Mitt Romney.

33 comments on “One Month To Election Day: Are Polls To Be Believed?

  1. Rustbelt Democrat October 6, 2024 11:49 am

    Elon Musk is a fascist nutjob freak!

  2. Princess Leia October 7, 2024 9:44 am

    At his rally this weekend, Trump blamed Democrats for trying to kill him.

    He said: “those who want to stop us from achieving this future have slandered me, impeached me, indicted me, tried to throw me off the ballot, and, who knows, maybe even tried to kill me.”

  3. Rustbelt Democrat October 7, 2024 9:50 am

    NOBODY should buy a Tesla or any other product from a Musk-owned company. If you own a Tesla now, sell it and get a different electric vehicle.

  4. Princess Leia October 7, 2024 3:14 pm

    I wish the hurricane would blow Trump away.

  5. Princess Leia October 8, 2024 10:05 am

    If anyone missed it, here is the 60 Minutes interview with Harris…

  6. Southern Liberal October 8, 2024 10:23 am

    Kamala Harris gains slight lead over Donald Trump in Michigan, poll shows

    The poll shows Harris with a 2.6 percentage point lead over Republican former President Donald Trump. Among the participants, 46.8% said they would vote for Harris, 44.2% said they would pick Trump, 8.3% said they would support another candidate and 0.7% were undecided.

    https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2024/10/07/kamala-harris-donald-trump-michigan-poll-slight-lead-presidential-race-white-house-rfk-kennedy/75552929007/

  7. Princess Leia October 8, 2024 3:36 pm

    Both of them are sickening!

  8. Rational Lefty October 10, 2024 9:44 am

    FiveThirtyEight is out with its new model for the 2024 US House of Representatives elections. Overall:

    “Right now, Democrats are favored to control the House in 495 out of 1,000 of our model’s simulations of how the election could go, while Republicans are favored to control the House in 506 of our simulations.”

    Pretty much even money – “could go either way,” according to FiveThirtyEight.

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/house/

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