Allan Lichtman

One Month To Election Day: Are Polls To Be Believed?

With one month until Election Day, polls indicate Democratic Presidential nominee Kamala Harris has a slight edge over Donald Trump, but all the seven “Battleground” or “Swing” states are within the margin of error, so anything can happen in the next month to tip the result.

Allan Lichtman of American University has predicted Harris will defeat Trump, but no one can consider any prediction to be certain. Lichtman says the concept of an “October Surprise” is overrated as a factor, but certainly one cannot predict events that could sway voters who have not yet made up their minds.

So Harris is gaining the campaigning support of Barack Obama in particular, but also a host of other public celebrities, plus the support of hundreds of Republicans who worked under Ronald Reagan, George H. W. Bush, George W. Bush, and even in the Donald Trump Presidency, along with those who worked for John McCain and Mitt Romney.

Professor Allan Lichtman Prediction On Presidential Election Of 2024!

American University History Professor Allan Lichtman has become famous in his predictions about Presidential elections since 1984, being correct every time, except 2000, when he predicted Al Gore would win the popular vote, but saw George W. Bush win the Electoral College that year. He was correct in his prediction that Donald Trump would win in 2016, despite losing the popular vote.

Now, Lichtman predicts Kamala Harris will win the Presidency over Donald Trump, with Harris winning 8 of the 13 “keys” that Lichtman utilizes in deciding his predictions.

Only the fact that the incumbent President is not running; that the party in the White House did not gain seats in the midterm elections; and that the incumbent has charisma not applicable gives Trump 3 keys, with the final judgment on foreign and military success or failure undecided, but that would only make for 5 “keys” for Trump.

It will be fascinating to see if Lichtman is accurate in his projections!