Pennsylvania

The Role Of Women Likely To Decide Presidential Election Of 2024!

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This author and blogger writes as Election Day has begun!

A final thought: The role of Women Voters seems likely to decide the Presidential Election of 2024.

There are more women voters than male voters, and a major gender gap has opened, according to numerous surveys.

Even in Iowa, considered a “red” state, the Des Moines Register poll surprises everyone, showing that Kamala Harris has a three point lead, primarily based on Independent Women and Women over the age of 65.

If this poll, which has been very accurate over many years, proves to be accurate, and Iowa, with its 6 electoral votes goes to Kamala Harris, it would insure a Democratic victory, as it would be sign that nearby states, including Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, would likely have similar results!

“The October Surprise” Is With Us! Final Projection On Electoral Vote Result On November 5!

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“The October Surprise”, the argument that an event in October has influenced Presidential elections, has occurred again, and this time, it seems clear that it will destroy the Donald Trump campaign!

Not only the horrendous, despicable “joke” by comedian Tony Hinchcliffe about Puerto Ricans at the Madison Square Garden rally on Sunday, but many of the other speakers who ranted and raved against African Americans and Jews, and promoted a white supremacy America with their hatred, all created what will bring down Donald Trump a week from today!

Clearly, the Republican Party is advocating a white Christian supremacist party and future, and Americans who do not fit into that mold can clearly see the threats and the danger ahead.

So watch as this disaster, that did not have to be, but demonstrates what Donald Trump is all about, will lead to his defeat, and likely by a bigger margin than one might think!

This blogger is now going out on a limb that Kamala Harris will carry the states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia and Nevada, and the second district of Nebraska, and will have 309 electoral votes to Trump’s 229 electoral votes. The only “swing state” Trump will win is Arizona!

And Harris will have a bigger popular vote margin than Joe Biden’s 7 million vote lead in 2020!

Commentary by readers is welcome on this projection, and we shall see how accurate I am!

Liz Cheney Joining Harris In Campaigning In “Blue Wall” States On Monday

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Former Wyoming Congresswoman Liz Cheney has been courageous in deciding to endorse Kamala Harris for President against Donald Trump, having given up her Congressional seat in the process.

And now, after having held an endorsement rally in Ripon, Wisconsin more than two weeks ago, she is now joining Harris today, Monday, October 21, in joint campaign rallies in the “Blue Wall” states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, all states that if Harris can win them, along with the Second District of Nebraska, will be enough to give her the electoral votes needed for victory on November 5.

Many other Republicans have also appeared at rallies in support of Harris, most notably former Illinois Congressman Adam Kinziger.

So the two Republicans on the January 6 House Committee will go down in history as the most courageous and influential Republicans above many others of lesser renown who have shown principle over ambition, and will be well regarded in reputation in the long run of history!

Pennsylvania Gains More Campaign Events, Crucial To Harris Victory!

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Pennsylvania, the Keystone State, is gaining more campaign events and attention than any other “Swing” or “Battleground” state.

That is because Pennsylvania, with 19 electoral votes, offers more than any other of those states.

The indication is that Pennsylvania is likely to go to Kamala Harris over Donald Trump, but there is growing trepidation about that matter.

If, by some chance, Harris does not win Pennsylvania on November 5, there will be plenty of “Monday Morning Quarterbacking”, that will say that the fatal mistake was Harris passing by extremely popular and charismatic Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro as her Vice Presidential running mate.

Minnesota Governor Tim Walz is inspiring and has done an excellent job, but the fear of failure is still omnipresent!

Why Kamala Harris Is Likely On The Road To Victory

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Although the polls are very close in the Presidential Election race of 2024, all signs are good that Kamala Harris is likely on the road to occupying the Oval Office as the 47th President of the United States after the November 5 election date.

Harris is ahead in most polls in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona and Nevada, which if true, would give her a 287-251 Electoral College victory, also including the Second District in Nebraska.

There is no doubt that Harris will easily win the popular vote, and possibly by more than the 7 plus million vote victory of Joe Biden in 2020.

Additionally, Harris is ahead in the following categories:

Urban voters
Suburban voters
College Educated Voters
Women Voters
African American Voters
Latino Voters
Jewish Voters
Asian American Voters
Voters 18-29 Years of Age
Voters Over Age 50
Labor Union Voters
Gay And Lesbian Voters

Of course, being ahead does not mean that the percentages of each voter category are what they have been in the past, or that one would think they should be, so there is plenty of work ahead in the next 25 days to convince voters in all of the above categories to support Kamala Harris.

Donald Trump will have the edge with:

Rural Voters
Non College Educated Voters
White Male Voters
Wealthy Voters
30-50 Years of Age Voters
Religious Voters

It is clear that there are still those Americans who have not made up their minds, so non stop campaigning is essential, as this election is crucial to the survival of American democracy, the rule of law, and maintaining the US Constitution!

Psychiatric And Cognitive Concerns About Donald Trump Grow, As Harris Makes Major Gains In Polls

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Psychiatric and cognitive concerns about Donald Trump are growing, as he is becoming more delusional by the day, lashing out even at his own contributors, and obsessing about size of crowds for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz, claiming false AI (Artificial Intelligence) photos!

Meanwhile, Kamala Harris has surged to a lead over Trump in polls for Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, and signs that she is gaining in Arizona and Nevada, including massive crowds showing up, despite 100 degree weather.

Trump is having trouble conceiving of how Harris replacing Joe Biden, and taking on Tim Walz, is having such a surge for three weeks, and with the Democratic National Convention coming in one week, an event very likely to boost Harris and Walz ever further in public support.

Major amounts of funds and volunteers continue to skyrocket, and more white men than expected are shown to be willing to move toward support of the Democratic ticket, to add to that of minority support, women, and young people.

With 226 electoral votes seen as assuredly Democratic, IF Harris can win Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, she would end up with exactly 270 electoral votes, the magic number to win the Presidency, even without Georgia, Nevada, Arizona, and North Carolina, the other so called “battleground” states!

Donald Trump And Crowd Sizes: Totally Unhinged!

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Donald Trump held a press conference at Mar a Lago on Thursday, rambling on for 75 minutes. His performance was clearly a melt down of major proportions.

He told a ton of lies, but what stood out even more was his obsession, as always, with the size of his crowds at public rallies and other events.

Trump has claimed that his 2017 Inauguration crowd was larger than that of Barack Obama in 2009, a total lie. This blogger and author was actually present at that historic inauguration, and knows personally how massive that crowd was on a very cold day, but people were willing to tolerate the cold weather.

Trump is now contesting, against reality, that Kamala Harris and Tim Walz only had about 2,000 people at their rallies in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, when the totals were between 12,000 and 15,000 at each rally, with the last two outside and in very hot weather.

And even more crazy, Trump is claiming that his crowds at many events, including his inauguration, were greater than on August 28, 1963, when Martin Luther King Jr. spoke before a crowd of 250,000 at the March on Washington!

Trump came up with absolutely insane numbers much higher than that date’s 250,000.

One has to say that seriously, Trump is in rapid decline, as the oldest Presidential nominee in American history!

If somehow he is elected, JD Vance will be the nightmare who is our President, despite the fact that he is a massive phony, who is a chameleon willing to say anything to advance himself!

Three Senate Republican Targets Whose Defeats Would Be Blessings!

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The battle for control of the US Senate in 2025 is a very difficult struggle for Democrats, who have a one vote margin in the present Senate, but seem highly likely to lose that slight edge in the upcoming Senate elections.

Besides having to defend incumbents in Montana, Nevada, Ohio, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, open seats in Maryland and Arizona will be difficult battles, and with West Virginia assured of a switch to Republicans with Joe Manchin’s retirement.

There are only three Republican targets that are possible switches to the Democrats, but all three will be very difficult to defeat.

In Florida, Rick Scott is opposed by Debbie Mucarsel-Powell; in Missouri, Josh Hawley is opposed by Lucas Kunce; and in Texas, Ted Cruz is opposed by Colin Allred.

All three Republican Senators are horrendous in their comments, votes, and basic personalities, the kind that are regularly demonstrating their lack of concern for their constituents, and motivated solely by ambition and desire to be controversial.

Nikki Haley Vote Percentage After Leaving Presidential Race A Danger Sign For Donald Trump!

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Nikki Haley dropped out of the Presidential campaign two months ago, having only won DC and Vermont, but gaining often one third of the primary vote in the states she lost to Donald Trump.

Since then, amazingly, she has racked up 13-25 percent of the vote in later Republican primaries despite having withdrawn from the race, and in some suburban counties in these states even higher at times.

She did this in crucial states, including Indiana, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona and Wisconsin.

And Donald Trump has made no moves to appeal to Haley or her supporters, while Joe Biden is making every effort to appeal to Haley supporters to “cross the aisle”.

This is an encouraging sign for Democrats.

“Battleground” States Should Be Expanded By Democrats!

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With an expected very close race for the Presidency between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, and with three independent or third party challengers being an additional threat to take away votes from the major party candidates, it is urgent that the list of “battleground” states be expanded by Democrats!

The usual belief is that the following states are the “battlegrounds”:

Pennsylvania (19)
Michigan (15)
Wisconsin (10)
Georgia (16)
Arizona (11)
Nevada (6)

Total 77 Electoral Votes

But in addition, the following states need to be considered potentials for extra attention financially and through campaign appearances by Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, and numerous Democratic supporters in public office:

New Hampshire (4)
Virginia (13)
North Carolina (16)
Florida (30)
Minnesota (10)
New Mexico (5)

Total 78 Electoral Votes

Additionally, the Second District of Maine which has gone Republican in the past (2016 and 2020) should be focused on, as well as retaining the Second District of Nebraska, which has gone Democratic two times in the past (2008 and 2020), with both states allowing divided electoral votes for President.

So a total of 12 states and one Congressional District in Nebraska and Maine should be focused on to insure a Democratic victory in November!

So out of 538 Electoral Votes total, 157 are in play!