“Swing States”

“The October Surprise” Is With Us! Final Projection On Electoral Vote Result On November 5!

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“The October Surprise”, the argument that an event in October has influenced Presidential elections, has occurred again, and this time, it seems clear that it will destroy the Donald Trump campaign!

Not only the horrendous, despicable “joke” by comedian Tony Hinchcliffe about Puerto Ricans at the Madison Square Garden rally on Sunday, but many of the other speakers who ranted and raved against African Americans and Jews, and promoted a white supremacy America with their hatred, all created what will bring down Donald Trump a week from today!

Clearly, the Republican Party is advocating a white Christian supremacist party and future, and Americans who do not fit into that mold can clearly see the threats and the danger ahead.

So watch as this disaster, that did not have to be, but demonstrates what Donald Trump is all about, will lead to his defeat, and likely by a bigger margin than one might think!

This blogger is now going out on a limb that Kamala Harris will carry the states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia and Nevada, and the second district of Nebraska, and will have 309 electoral votes to Trump’s 229 electoral votes. The only “swing state” Trump will win is Arizona!

And Harris will have a bigger popular vote margin than Joe Biden’s 7 million vote lead in 2020!

Commentary by readers is welcome on this projection, and we shall see how accurate I am!

Pennsylvania Gains More Campaign Events, Crucial To Harris Victory!

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Pennsylvania, the Keystone State, is gaining more campaign events and attention than any other “Swing” or “Battleground” state.

That is because Pennsylvania, with 19 electoral votes, offers more than any other of those states.

The indication is that Pennsylvania is likely to go to Kamala Harris over Donald Trump, but there is growing trepidation about that matter.

If, by some chance, Harris does not win Pennsylvania on November 5, there will be plenty of “Monday Morning Quarterbacking”, that will say that the fatal mistake was Harris passing by extremely popular and charismatic Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro as her Vice Presidential running mate.

Minnesota Governor Tim Walz is inspiring and has done an excellent job, but the fear of failure is still omnipresent!

One Month To Election Day: Are Polls To Be Believed?

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With one month until Election Day, polls indicate Democratic Presidential nominee Kamala Harris has a slight edge over Donald Trump, but all the seven “Battleground” or “Swing” states are within the margin of error, so anything can happen in the next month to tip the result.

Allan Lichtman of American University has predicted Harris will defeat Trump, but no one can consider any prediction to be certain. Lichtman says the concept of an “October Surprise” is overrated as a factor, but certainly one cannot predict events that could sway voters who have not yet made up their minds.

So Harris is gaining the campaigning support of Barack Obama in particular, but also a host of other public celebrities, plus the support of hundreds of Republicans who worked under Ronald Reagan, George H. W. Bush, George W. Bush, and even in the Donald Trump Presidency, along with those who worked for John McCain and Mitt Romney.

The Harris-Trump Debate: Competence Vs Lies And Disarray!

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This evening’s ABC Presidential debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump at Philadelphia’s National Constitution Center will be a crucial moment in the Presidential Election of 2024, as public opinion polls indicate a very even race emerging in the seven “swing” states.

Harris’s need is to show her experience, competence, compassion and empathy, against the monster who is Donald Trump, who is certain to lie incessantly, and go out of his way to insult Harris, calling her names, and demonstrating racism and misogyny unapologetically.

Trump also rambles and is often incoherent, raising questions about his cognitive abilities and mental health, making many Americans wonder if he is capable to lead the nation and have the nuclear codes for the next four years, when he would become the oldest President in US history, and already is the oldest Presidential nominee we have had.

It is likely that there might not be another Presidential debate, although Vice Presidential nominees Tim Walz and JD Vance will debate on CBS on Tuesday, October 1.

The Obamas Stir And Motivate Democrats For The Upcoming Presidential Campaign!

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On the second night of the Democratic National Convention, Barack and Michelle Obama gave rousing speeches, stirring and motivating Democrats for the upcoming 11 week battle until Election Day 2024.

The Obamas are, without doubt, the most popular and stirring Presidential couple in modern times, and they speak with authenticity and passion of the reality of the threat of Donald Trump and his minions on the future of the nation, if he is returned to the Presidency.

Both made a strong case for Kamala Harria and Tim Walz.

Additionally, Second Gentleman Doug Emhoff, who may end up as First Gentleman, gave a heart warming personal speech about his wife.

And Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders also gave his typical rousing speech, amazing when one considers that he is about to turn 83 next month.

Additionally, Jason Carter, the grandson of former President Jimmy Carter, who will turn 100 years of age on October 1, spoke about his grandfather’s excitement to vote for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz.

Also, Jack Schlossberg, the only grandson of President John F. Kennedy, gave a speech in support, at the same time that his uncle, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is undermining the Democrats, by his consorting with Donald Trump, including the possibility of supporting him, due to his own flailing third party campaign

There is an electricity in the convention, a sense that the Democrats are, hopefully, on the way to victory in November, but much work is ahead, as it is likely that the election will be very close in the “swing states”, as they were in 2016 and 2020!

Public Opinion Polls Show Surge Toward Kamala Harris!

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In just ten days since Joe Biden withdrew and Kamala Harris entered the Democratic Presidential race, public opinion polls show a great surge to Harris in all of the “swing states”.

The seven “swing states” include:

Pennsylvania
Michigan
Wisconsin
Arizona
Georgia
Nevada
North Carolina

All seven show Harris ahead of where Biden was, and leading Donald Trump or within the “margin of error”.

Fundraising has been massive, and Harris had a raucous crowd of 10,000 in Atlanta on Tuesday evening.

And for those who did not realize it: Kamala Harris is quite charismatic and dynamic as a speaker, and her smile and optimism ring true, demonstrating that she has been underrated, just like Joe Biden was in 2020!

Potential Vice Presidential Nominees With Kamala Harris If She Replaces Joe Biden

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Discussion has begun of potential Vice Presidential nominees who would join Vice President Kamala Harris on the Democratic Party ticket, if President Joe Biden decided to withdraw from the race, which seems more likely by the day.

Speculation has that Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer might make for a “dynamite” ticket with Harris, making it an all female competition against two Republicans, Donald Trump and JD Vance, who could clearly be called male chauvinists at the least.

What an exciting race that would be, but the question is whether it would be a winning race. Whitmer, being from Michigan, a crucial swing state, could be a dynamic addition to the race, but it would seem a major gamble to have an all female ticket.

Other possibilities of running mates for Harris include:

Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro
Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg
Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear
North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper
Arizona Senator Mark Kelly

Shapiro is Jewish, while Buttigieg is gay, either being a step forward on those factors. Shapiro is also from a “swing state” and Buttigieg now lives in Michigan, a “swing state” after earlier being Mayor of South Bend, Indiana.

Beshear and Cooper have been successful as Governors in Republican states, and North Carolina could be in play in the upcoming election.

Kelly, whose wife Gabby Giffords, was a victim of an assassination attempt in 2011 when a member of Congress and has recovered quite well, is a former astronaut and from another “swing state”.

The potential Vice Presidential list is very impressive, and any of the list of six individuals would add to a ticket headed by Harris! All are younger than Harris, except Kelly who is eight months older than Harris, and Cooper who is nearly seven years older at age 67.

Sad, But Essential That Joe Biden Step Aside!

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As a strong and loyal supporter of Joe Biden for many years, it is a sad moment that now this blogger and author strongly believes that Biden must step aside and endorse Kamala Harris as his successor.

Biden should finish his term, but give all his efforts to the promotion of Harris to be the 47th President of the United States.

Harris has been a loyal and dedicated Vice President, and the criticisms of her are primarily racist, sexist, and misogynistic, as she is, clearly, perfectly qualified to be the next President of the United States.

The latest public opinion polls demonstrate that Biden is behind Donald Trump in every “swing state”, as well as in trouble in states that should not be in play, including Virginia, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Colorado, and Minnesota, and the Second District in Nebraska.

The thought of Donald Trump and JD Vance as the next President and Vice President is horrifying, but it could be even worse with the Democrats losing the US Senate and failing to regain the House of Representatives majority, which otherwise seemed likely.

No one man can be seen to be allowed to use his ego over the needs of his nation, his party, and all of the American people.

So by Sunday night, Biden needs to address the nation and announce his withdrawal, and endorsement of Kamala Harris.

It is only a bit more than 100 days to the election, and six months to the inauguration, and the nation needs to see a unified Democratic Party fighting for a decent future, and preventing an extremist right wing government under Trump, and long term, the much more dangerous JD Vance!

Kamala Harris Would Be Favored, If Joe Biden Decided To Withdraw: So What?

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If Joe Biden were to decide to withdraw as a candidate, after the disastrous CNN Presidential debate five days ago, it is clear that Vice President Kamala Harris would be favored to be the Democratic Presidential nominee against Donald Trump.

So what is this author’s and blogger’s response, as Harris is perfectly capable of being President, and arguably more so than a number of recent Vice Presidents or Vice Presidential candidates.

Would any rational observer say that Spiro Agnew, Dan Quayle, or Mike Pence were better qualified, or that Dick Cheney, with his authoritarian qualities, would have been a preferable choice? And what about Sarah Palin, who was a potential threat to be Vice President?

Most of the opposition from the right wing about Harris is based on her gender and race, as she proved to be perfectly qualified as San Francisco District Attorney, California Attorney General, and California US Senator.

While there would be those who would prefer alternatives, Harris is a hearbeat away from the Presidency already for three and a half years, and is perfectly capable of being President, and doing a good job of upholding the Constitution, American democracy, and the rule of law, and certainly far better than Fascist authoritarian Donald Trump!

Harris would unify African American women, racial minorities in general, and white progressives and moderates who would see Donald Trump as “a clear and present danger”. She would perform very well against Trump in a debate format, as well.

Her Vice Presidential running mate could be Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear, who has proved he could win a “Red” State more than once; or Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, leader of a crucial “swing state”.

Crazy Polling Shows RFK Jr. At 22 Percent Support In Presidential Race!

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A new Quinnipiac poll shows Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. gaining 22 percent in a Presidential matchup with Joe Biden (39 percent) and Donald Trump (36 percent).

Independents (including a lot of young voters) favor RFK Jr. with 36 percent, Trump with 31 percent, and Biden with 30 percent.

This poll, if it became reality, could affect “swing states”, deciding the Electoral College, but there is zero chance of RFK Jr. being able to win any electoral votes, and a certainty he would not be able to win the election, just being a spoiler against Joe Biden, a man who honors his father and has a bust of Robert F. Kennedy on his desk.

More likely, however RFK Jr. would harm Trump than Biden.

It is clear that there are delusional people who think RFK Jr. is RFK come back from the past!